Se vince il Nero (incrociamo le dita)

obamacerealElection flavour … choose from Obama O’s or Cap ‘N MaCain’s cereal. Photograph: Airbed&Breakfast

 

CRONACHE OBAMIANE

 

4 novembre pomeriggio

intrade

See realtime updates of battleground states here.

Obama is ahead in swing states Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico.

John McCain leads in Georgia, Indiana, Montana and North Dakota.

Missouri has teetered red and blue in recent days, but … is tilting to Obama.

Aspettando di verificare stanotte se intrade.com c’azzecca (e chi si fida dei sondaggi ?), dando “il Nero” (come lo chiama simpaticamente Gramellini oggi su La Stampa) vincente al 92%, e travolgente con 364 voti contro 174.

081104_mani_tese

RIflettiamo sulla lezione Obamica ed americana di UNITA’ DELLA SINISTRA, e convergenza degli OPPRESSI con i ceti medi liberal e progressisti. La nostra ferma convinzione  e’ che il terreno delle lotte di classe (svariate, e durissime dentro le borghesie) ed altre lotte (geo-politiche) dentro la CRISI SUBCRIME, detti delle direttive per la ricostruzione delle SINISTRE, sia riformiste che rivoluzionarie, nei paesi occidentali.

Ossia. non e’ una alleanza meramente tattica quella americana, solo per uscire dall’incubo di Bush. Mentre il centro-sinistra italiano ha sempre errato nel cercare convergenze tattiche anti-Berlusconi, finendo in quella clamorosa cazzata e disastro pro-Cavaliere dell’ultimo Governo Prodi. E non e’ finita:  Walter-Ego che corre dietro a quella nullità di Di Pietro, addirittura un referendum sulle fondazioni ed i grembiulini ?!? Ma anche Massimo d’Alema, quando parla di ricostruire le alleanze del PD, pare guardare più al centro ex-DC, pure se non trascura la sinistra rivoluzionaria in crisi d’identità.

Strategicamente, come lo Tsunami subcrime ha incoronato il Nero, così le politiche sociali anti-crisi e nella crisi sono il campo soggettivo ed oggettivo di ricostruzione delle sinistre, la scuola va benissimo MA NON BASTA. Riportiamo qui, a titolo di esempio, un brano del nostro lungo .pdf di analisi economica della crisi, nella versione aggiornata che uscirà a giorni (aspettavamo le elezioni per ridurre l’incertezza).

The policies guidelines we support and describe here are, in synthesis:

1. we support a SOCIALIST redistribution of wealth (the j’accuse of McCain to Obama), i.e. not just a (necessary, but insufficient) Keynesan fiscal redistribution (see point 3), but much more: changing à la Marx the value creation\ appropriation mechanisms of Financial Capitalism, fighting back the expropriation of value creators.

2. Under BRIC-Chindian- emerging countries increasing competition, OECD countries should react by refocussing technological innovation versus Finance. But:

       2\A. SCENARIO A.  This would be possible only after a “redde rationem” within their dominating classes and a defeat of Pure Rentiers –  which is just unrealistic. Therefore, OECD countries will likely slide into decline during this severe recession  (e.g., see the proposal of US innovation policy by Henry and Manzi 2008). The Schumpeterian innovative effects of the recession will be reaped mainly in Asia. 

       2\B. scenario B. A power reallocation in OECD bourgeoisies and their States, with Finance and Rentiers not fully defeated but downsized (in principle, Wall Street bailout allows for this). In such a case, OECD countries re-specialise in those services and niche manufacturing where they have core competences, and delay their decline – although they cannot reverse it, until they are dominated by Rentiers. This is a key area of neo-Gramscian alliances of the exploited, with middle class Obamian progressive sectors.

3. In the reported Naomi Klein’s view, the Paulson Plan is an act of theft, in order to weaken the US Federal budget for the next 8 years. Therefore,  the resources for  mainstream (again, after the end of the Friedman\Reagan era in the subcrime Tsunami) post-Keynesian policies of crisis management – coordinated internationally. 

4. Of course a Bretton Woods-3 would be optimal, but no one has the power to fix the new rules: therefore the post-global economy will stick now to Bretton Woods-2 disequilibria and their dynamics. Essentially, Asian savings will no more flow towards US investments automatically on the US bonds market, but more and more with FDI and market operations by SWF. The Bretton Woods-2 alliance between US finance rentiers and Chindian industrial capital is beginning to break up. 

Wallerstein’s (2008) FAQ on the political arena of the next decades. 

Which bio-political form will take the subject that will redistribute à la Robin Hood, in order to sourt out of this STRUCTURAL DEFLATION? Populism, centre-left or far right?

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Published in: on November 4, 2008 at 2:50 pm  Leave a Comment  
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